Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FNL - Round 11
- Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 12 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 11 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Safronov I. 🟨, 
- 45+2', Fomin D. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Selikhov A. ↓, Oparin M. ↑, 
- 46', Ayupov T. ↓, Sungatulin F. ↑, 
- 46', Karapuzov V. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑, 
- 61', Safronov I. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑, 
- 61', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑, 
- 63', Mosin E. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑, 
- 64', Bardachev M. 🟨, 
- 68', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Maltsev M. ↑, 
- 68', Simonyan A. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑, 
- 80', Kaynov M. 🟨, 
- 88', Voronov M. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Ural 51.5%
 | Draw 29%
 | Rotor 19.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ural - Rotor Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.83 ↑ (1.74)
 | 3.25 ↓ (3.27)
 | 4.85 ↓ (5.07)
 | 6.1% (7.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ural - Rotor?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Recently, Rotor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Rotor?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ural has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Rotor won against Ural?
                    
                    
                        
                             Rotor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Rotor were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.03.2025 
                                Rotor 
                                - 
                                Ural 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.09.2024 
                                Ural 
                                - 
                                Rotor 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian FNL Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 | 
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 | 
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 | 
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 | 
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 | 
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 | 
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | 
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 | 
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 | 
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 | 
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 | 
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 | 
      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
      Relegation