Wisła Płock vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
28:27
09/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandEurosport 1
portugalPortugalSporting TV
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Chances of winning


Wisła Płock
54.3%
Draw
11.3%
Sporting Lisbon
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 11.7% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 11.1% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Płock's performance.
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.98)
    8.16
    (8.1)
    2.69
    (2.34)
    7.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:32.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 29-33. Second leg.
    • Wisła Płock is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 141:149. (average 28.2:29.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 54:57. (average 27:28.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    02.04.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock 33:29
    06.03.2025 Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon 29:29
    11.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock 34:29
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    04.04.2026 Wisła Płock - Kalisz 37:27
    27.03.2026 Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock 16:34
    14.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Legionowo 34:18
    11.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Szeged 30:30
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Fuchse Berlin (A1)Bye
    2PSG (B4)Veszprem (A5)35 : 35, 24 : 32
    3Barcelona (B1)Bye
    4Nantes (A4)GOG (B5)40 : 28, 34 : 33
    5Aalborg (A2)Bye
    6Wisla Plock (B3)Sporting (A6)28 : 27, 29 : 33
    7SC Magdeburg (B2)Bye
    8Kielce (A3)Szeged (B6)32 : 32, 23 : 26

    Final
    1Fuchse Berlin (A1)Veszprem (A5)
    2Barcelona (B1)Nantes (A4)
    3Aalborg (A2)Sporting (A6)
    4SC Magdeburg (B2)Szeged (B6)