Serbia vs Hungary, European Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
10:7
25/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +

Chances of winning


Serbia
59.2%
Draw
10.6%
Hungary
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 14.1% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 14.2% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serbia's performance.
  • Hungary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hungary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (-28.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serbia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungary than the current prediction. (+24.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hungary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Serbia - Hungary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (2.97)
    8.74
    (6.47)
    3.07
    (1.66)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 24.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Serbia - Hungary?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hungary will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Serbia (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Hungary (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Hungary (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 4Q - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 3Q - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 2Q - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 1Q - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Serbia (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Hungary (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 13:11.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Serbia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 199:189. (average 11.1:10.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serbia - Hungary were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Hungary - Serbia 14:15
    22.07.2025 Serbia - Hungary 18:19
    05.08.2024 Hungary - Serbia 17:13
    15.02.2024 Serbia - Hungary 11:10
    12.01.2024 Hungary - Serbia 15:14
    Latest results of Serbia
    23.01.2026 Serbia - Italy 17:13
    20.01.2026 Serbia - Montenegro 13:15
    18.01.2026 Hungary - Serbia 14:15
    16.01.2026 France - Serbia 10:14
    14.01.2026 Israel - Serbia 9:19
    Latest results of Hungary
    23.01.2026 Greece - Hungary 12:15
    20.01.2026 Spain - Hungary 14:15
    18.01.2026 Hungary - Serbia 14:15
    16.01.2026 Hungary - Netherlands 16:11
    14.01.2026 Malta - Hungary 6:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SerbiaItaly17 : 13
    2GreeceHungary12 : 15

    Final
    1SerbiaHungary10 : 7

    3rd place
    2ItalyGreece5 : 12