Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | TVWan Sports 2 |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.56 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Passes |
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80% (437/545) | 80% (335/418) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.56 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.30 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
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13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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32 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 10 |
Passes |
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80% (437/545) | 80% (335/418) |
Long passes |
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31% (18/59) | 34% (17/50) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (112/173) | 56% (49/87) |
Crosses |
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35% (6/17) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.22 | 1.19 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 22 |
Fouls |
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10 | 12 |
Tackles |
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50% (11/22) | 88% (14/16) |
Duels won |
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56 | 55 |
Clearances |
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27 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.17 | 2.30 |
Goals prevented |
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0.17 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Rieder F. ⚽, Massengo H. (A),
- 36', Pyrka A. 🟨,
- 40', Rexhbecaj E. 🟨,
- 45', Hountondji A. (Pen),
- 45', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. ⚽,
- 45+5', Jakic K. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hountondji A. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 46', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 63', Saad E. 🟨,
- 67', Matsima C. 🟨,
- 69', Wolf M. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 69', Saad E. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
- 75', Dzwigala A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 76', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Sinani D. ⚽,
- 84', Massengo H. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
- 84', Rieder F. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
- 88', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 90+2', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli 43.7% | Draw 28.4% | Augsburg 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
St. Pauli - Augsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.16) |
3.34 ↓ (3.5) |
3.43 ↑ (3.38) |
4.8% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Augsburg?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Augsburg will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- St. Pauli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Augsburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Pauli could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Augsburg: Bauer M.
(Injury)
Claude-Maurice A.
(Ankle Injury)
Essende S.
(Red Card)
Giannoulis D.
(Thigh Injury)
Komur M.
(Toe Injury)
Schlotterbeck K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ceesay A.
(Foot Injury)
Irvine J.
(Foot Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Fellhauer R.
(Concussion)
Kade A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Augsburg?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against St. Pauli?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Augsburg were as follows:
01.02.2025
St. Pauli
-
Augsburg
1:1
15.09.2024
Augsburg
-
St. Pauli
3:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 9 |
2 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
3 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
4 | St. Pauli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Mainz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | B. Monchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
17 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga