Kimberley de Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
142
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 67', 0 - 1, ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kimberley de Mar del Plata
59.6%
Draw
27.2%
Argentino Monte Maíz
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 31.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 32.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberley de Mar del Plata's performance.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberley de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (2.12)
    3.37
    (2.88)
    6.9
    (3.4)
    9.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Kimberley (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Kimberley (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Kimberley (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Kimberley (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kimberley (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Kimberley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kimberley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kimberley is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz 2:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    5Boca Unidos622210:918
    6San Martin Formosa52215:508
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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