Sofia Shapatava vs Matilde Jorge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Santarem Women Sofia Shapatava - Matilde Jorge
Result
0:2
11/09/2024 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santarém (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
26

Chances of winning


Sofia Shapatava
31.7%
Matilde Jorge
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Shapatava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Shapatava's form might have worsened.
  • Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Shapatava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Shapatava - Matilde Jorge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.24)

    1.39
    (1.59)
    5.6%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shapatava is ranked WTA: 623. Jorge is ranked WTA: 483.
    • Recent matches Shapatava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jorge in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Shapatava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Jorge will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Jorge to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sofia Shapatava
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Lazaro Garcia A. (1)Sekulic S.2 : 0
    2Dapkute I.Santos A.F.2 : 0
    3Tomai C.Malygina E.0 : 2
    4Fedorova A.Grey S. B. (6)0 : 2
    5Gureva A. (3)Ozgen P.1 : 2
    6Kovaleva A.McDonald E.1 : 2
    7Stromquist T.Kubareva A.0 : 2
    8Zelnickova R.Vlasselaer C. (8)0 : 2
    9Helgo M. (7)Diatchenko V.0 : 2
    10Shapatava S.Jorge M.0 : 2
    11Kuwata H.Hatouka Y.0 : 2
    12Daavettila S.Mansouri Y. (4)0 : 2
    13Kuzmova K. (5)Sugnaux T.1 : 2
    14Weckerle M.Munk Mortensen R.1 : 2
    15Rajecki A.Laundes F.2 : 0
    16Cervino Ruiz C.Fung S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Lazaro Garcia A. (1)Dapkute I.2 : 0
    2Malygina E.Grey S. B. (6)0 : 2
    3Ozgen P.McDonald E.0 : 2
    4Kubareva A.Vlasselaer C. (8)1 : 2
    5Diatchenko V.Jorge M.1 : 2
    6Hatouka Y.Mansouri Y. (4)0 : 2
    7Sugnaux T.Munk Mortensen R.2 : 0
    8Rajecki A.Fung S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Lazaro Garcia A. (1)Grey S. B. (6)2 : 0
    2McDonald E. (RET.)Vlasselaer C. (8)0 : 1
    3Jorge M.Mansouri Y. (4)2 : 0
    4Sugnaux T.Fung S. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Lazaro Garcia A. (1)Vlasselaer C. (8)1 : 2
    2Jorge M.Fung S. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Vlasselaer C. (8)Fung S. (2)1 : 2