Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 11
- Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/305) | 85% (345/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/305) | 85% (345/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/94) | 78% (84/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 32% (12/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Mexer 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Kakuta G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Akman A. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
- 46', Ezeh F. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
- 46', Bulut H. ↓, Roshi O. ↑,
- 52', Rroca E. 🟨,
- 64', Szumski J. 🟨,
- 71', Keskin B. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
- 72', Okumus A. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 72', Demir M. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
- 80', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
- 80', Ciftpinar S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 88', Yavuz S. ↓, Demir A. ↑,
- 90', Ayan H. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
41.9% | Draw
26.8% | Keçiörengücü
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.33) |
3.45 ↑
(3.43) |
2.96 ↑
(2.81) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4.
- Sakaryaspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M.
(Inactive)
Tasbakir R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Sakaryaspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Sakaryaspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
19.01.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Sakaryaspor
2:3
09.08.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
21.04.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:1
02.12.2023
Keçiörengücü
-
Sakaryaspor
1:3
05.02.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:0
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
