Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 24
- Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Akbashev R. ⚽,
- 31', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Margasov T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
- 60', Guliev A. 🟨,
- 63', Sekulic M. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 63', Akbashev R. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
- 70', Popov A. ↓, Reyes E. ↑,
- 72', Margasov T. 🟨,
- 74', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
- 76', Gorbunov I. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
- 77', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Mamin A. ↑,
- 83', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
- 85', Penchikov D. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
- 85', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 0, Morozov N. ⚽,
- 90+2', Ishkov I. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ural
55.2% | Draw
25.4% | Arsenal Tula
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ural - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
3.75 ↑
(3.73) |
4.92
(4.92) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3.
- Ural has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arsenal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Arsenal Tula?
Ural has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ural?
Arsenal Tula has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
24.10.2025
Arsenal Tula
-
Ural
1:2
24.03.2025
Ural
-
Arsenal Tula
0:0
16.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ural
1:0
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
