Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Joca 🟨,
- 40', Filipe L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Dario Miranda ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
- 58', Biai B. ↓, Kaylan ↑,
- 63', Cornelio D. ↓, Salgado L. M. ↑,
- 64', Paula G. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Joca ⚽,
- 69', Ramalho D. 🟨,
- 70', Derick 🟨,
- 75', Filipe L. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 77', Mosquera D. 🟨,
- 79', Jefinho ↓, Isabelinha ↑,
- 83', Joca ↓, Isma ↑,
- 84', Sidney C. ↓, Kipanda D. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Duarte L. ⚽,
- 90', Konate M. 🟥,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Derick ⚽,
Chances of winning
Covilhã
58.2% | Draw
23.9% | SC Lusitânia
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Covilhã - SC Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.86) |
3.89 ↑
(3.23) |
5.19 ↑
(4.02) |
7.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Covilhã - SC Lusitânia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of home games.
- In this match Covilhã is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against SC Lusitânia?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against Covilhã?
SC Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
15.03.2025
SC Lusitânia
-
Covilhã
2:0
15.01.2025
Covilhã
-
SC Lusitânia
0:0
15.09.2024
SC Lusitânia
-
Covilhã
1:0
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
