Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        06/08/2025 at  18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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 Peru | Liga 1 Max | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.51 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 64% | 36% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (398/466) | 74% (190/258) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.51 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.05 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (398/466) | 74% (190/258) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 39% (26/66) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (65/88) | 53% (52/98) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 20% (4/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.59 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 13 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 63% (5/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 33 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 27 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.05 | 3.22 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.22 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 10', Fernandez S. 🟥, 
 - 14', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. ⚽, 
 - 38', 2 - 0, Flores F. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 46', Lupu H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑, 
 - 46', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche E. ↑, 
 - 48', Gutierrez A. 🟨, 
 - 58', Loyola N. ↓, Aldo Olaya ↑, 
 - 58', Gutierrez A. ↓, Ayqque J. ↑, 
 - 67', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑, 
 - 67', Perez J. ↓, Castro R. ↑, 
 - 81', Ysique F. ↓, Illanes F. ↑, 
 - 81', Rasmussen M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑, 
 - 81', Flores F. ↓, Torres R. ↑, 
 - 90+2', Rodriguez L. ↓, Montufar R. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Escuela Municipal Binacional  43.2% | Draw  29.1% | Alianza Atlético  27.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.95 ↓ (2.29) | 
			   2.85 ↓ (3.47) | 
			   2.99 ↑ (2.97) | 
			   19.9% (6.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Binacional: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Binacional (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 2.
 - The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  - Binacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Binacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Escuela Municipal Binacional won against Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
                            Escuela Municipal Binacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Escuela Municipal Binacional?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.03.2025 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Escuela Municipal Binacional 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.09.2023 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Escuela Municipal Binacional 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.09.2022 
                                Escuela Municipal Binacional 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Escuela Municipal Binacional                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Atlético                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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