Result
4:2
20/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Hood J. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Jones J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Shaw J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', 2 - 2, Newman Jones A. (Own goal),
- 78', 3 - 2, Newman Jones A. ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, Rees O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trethomas Bluebirds
32.8% | Draw
25.6% | Pontypridd United
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.75) |
3.53 ↓
(3.59) |
2.18 ↑
(2.16) |
10.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)
- Trethomas Bluebirds has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pontypridd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Trethomas Bluebirds won against Pontypridd United?
Trethomas Bluebirds has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontypridd United won against Trethomas Bluebirds?
Pontypridd United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United were as follows:
28.11.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
12.04.2025
Trethomas Bluebirds
-
Pontypridd United
4:0
14.09.2024
Pontypridd United
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
2:3
Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
Latest results of Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 66 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 55 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | -17 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | -53 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
