Result
01/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
54.4% | Draw
22.6% | Umm-Salal
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.74) |
4.02 ↑
(3.92) |
3.96 ↑
(3.6) |
9.9%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 5.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Gharafa has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Gharafa?
Umm-Salal has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal were as follows:
06.01.2026
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Gharafa
2:3
15.08.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Umm-Salal
4:2
19.05.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Umm-Salal
4:2
07.03.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Gharafa
0:1
18.10.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Umm-Salal
3:1
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Shamal | Bye | |
| 2 | Qatar SC | Bye | |
| 3 | Al-Sadd | Bye | |
| 4 | Al Markhiya | Al Mesaimeer | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Al-Duhail | Bye | |
| 6 | Al-Waab | Lusail | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Al-Shahaniya | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Al Arabi | |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | Bye | |
| 10 | Al-Kharitiyath | Al Bidda | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Umm-Salal | |
| 13 | Al Rayyan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Al Khor | |
| 15 | Al Wakra | Bye | |
| 16 | Al Sailiya | Muaither SC | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Shamal | Qatar SC | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | Al Markhiya | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Al-Duhail | Al-Waab | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Al-Shahaniya | Al Arabi | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Al-Gharafa | Al-Kharitiyath | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Doha | Umm-Salal | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Al Rayyan | Al Khor | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | Al Sailiya | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shamal | Al-Sadd | |
| 2 | Al-Duhail | Al Arabi | |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | Umm-Salal | |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | Al Wakra | |
Semi-finalsFinal
