Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Şanlıurfaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 25
  • Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.49
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
156
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
Free Kicks
1415
Offsides
41
Fouls
1514
Yellow Cards
42
Throw-ins
2320
Touches in the Opposition Box
2115
Passes
82% (399/487)76% (276/364)
Passes in the final third
65% (88/136)62% (49/79)
Crosses
16% (3/19)20% (3/15)
Tackles
57% (12/21)88% (7/8)
Clearances Total
2432
Interceptions
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kurukalip C. , Dursun S. ,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Serginho , Camacho J. (A),
  • 30', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Eren F. , Begic A. ,
  • 46', Ercelik H. , Ogundu U. ,
  • 46', Kappel L. , Yazar A. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Ogundu U. , Begic A. (A),
  • 60', Yazar A. 🟨,
  • 70', Gurpuz G. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 70', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 71', Wriedt K. , Sambou B. ,
  • 79', Celebi A. , Giritlioglu C. ,
  • 80', Doh M. 🟨,
  • 81', Serginho , Gray A. ,
  • 81', Dursun S. , Ulvan T. ,
  • 85', Dovedan N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Yardimci N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
67.7%
Draw
21.2%
Şanlıurfaspor
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 23.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 22.5% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
  • Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şanlıurfaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şanlıurfaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.32
    (3.96)
    8.25
    (5.34)
    9.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor?
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5.
    • Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Şanlıurfaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Karagümrük is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Awuku P. (Red Card)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Şanlıurfaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Şanlıurfaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation