Ilkeston vs Leek Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Meadowcroft C. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Heath C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Parker S. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Heath C. ,
  • 62', Daniel C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ilkeston
49.9%
Draw
23.9%
Leek Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 23.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 23.3% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leek Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Ilkeston - Leek Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.06)
    3.83
    (3.94)
    3.49
    (2.96)
    9.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Leek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ilkeston might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Leek Town were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Leek Town - Ilkeston 1:2
    04.01.2025 Ilkeston - Leek Town 0:2
    21.09.2024 Leek Town - Ilkeston 1:3
    Latest results of Ilkeston
    17.01.2026 Ilkeston - Lancaster City 3:0
    13.01.2026 Whitby Town - Ilkeston 1:0
    10.01.2026 Ilkeston - Morpeth Town 3:1
    03.01.2026 Hyde United - Ilkeston 2:2
    Latest results of Leek Town
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hebburn Town32178760:362459
    2Hednesford31169643:261757
    3FC United31168746:281856
    4Warrington Rylands321412648:351354
    5Gainsborough30149742:311151
    6Stockton301410650:351549
    7Lancaster311381041:36547
    8Bamber Bridge301371046:331346
    9Warrington3211101137:51-1443
    10Ilkeston321241644:47-340
    11Ashton Utd301171235:41-640
    12Guiseley311161435:41-639
    13Whitby309101133:37-437
    14Leek321071538:46-837
    15Cleethorpes28981139:34535
    16Rushall31981435:48-1335
    17Hyde307111246:54-832
    18Prescot317111330:38-832
    19Stocksbridge31791531:52-2130
    20Morpeth30851728:41-1329
    21Workington316111431:48-1729

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation