Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (375/433) | 76% (200/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.28 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.32 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (375/433) | 76% (200/263) |
| Long passes |
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| 48% (21/44) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 70% (74/106) | 72% (58/81) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (5/21) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.29 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
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| 12 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.88 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.12 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Enem J. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Karikari K. ⚽, Kuljanin A. (A),
- 33', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
- 42', Pirgic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 2, Enem J. ⚽,
- 59', Jasper S. 🟨,
- 59', Pirgic S. ↓, Grgic D. ↑,
- 64', Despotovski S. 🟨,
- 67', Jasper S. (Pen),
- 72', Milosavljevic J. ↓, Jevremovic J. ↑,
- 73', Ivanov H. ↓, Knezevic B. ↑,
- 79', Enem J. ↓, Scepovic S. ↑,
- 79', Dembele I. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
- 79', Gobeljic M. ↓, Lazic U. ↑,
- 79', Despotovski S. ↓, Stojanovic U. ↑,
- 83', Diogo Bezerra 🟨,
- 87', Karikari K. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
- 90+2', Sljivic J. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Knezevic N. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Železničar Pančevo
44.3% | Draw
27.9% | OFK Beograd
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Železničar Pančevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Železničar Pančevo's performance.OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OFK Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Železničar Pančevo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OFK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Železničar Pančevo - OFK Beograd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.44) |
3.34 ↑
(3.27) |
3.34 ↑
(2.69) |
7.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Železničar Pančevo - OFK Beograd?
Users Predictions:
Železničar Pančevo will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Železničar Pančevo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- Železničar P is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- OFK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Železničar P will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Železničar P won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Železničar P won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Železničar Pančevo won against OFK Beograd?
Železničar Pančevo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Železničar Pančevo?
OFK Beograd has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Železničar Pančevo - OFK Beograd were as follows:
12.03.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Železničar Pančevo
1:2
22.09.2024
Železničar Pančevo
-
OFK Beograd
0:1
Latest results of Železničar Pančevo
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 35:6 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 | Partizan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | TSC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Mladost | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Javor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Radnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Napredak | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
