Result
4:5 penalties
31/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 3.56 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 15.38% (4/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.62% (22/26) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.93 | 44.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 3)
- 02:41, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 05:48, 0 - 1, Alasiurua A. (G), Tardif B. (A), Virta P. (A2)
- 05:58, 1 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), True A. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
- 06:33, 2 - 1, True A. (G), Winberg T. (A),
- 10:52, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 17:52, 2 - 2, Alasiurua A. (G), Paaso A. (A), Virta P. (A2)
- 19:11, 2 - 3, Erholtz E. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:46, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 14:38, 2 - 4, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Tikka T. (A), Juusola V. (A2)
- 16:01, 3 - 4, Makinen O. (G), Jormakka P. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
- 19:17, Nutivaara M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:23, Antti-Roiko A. (2 min),
- 08:58, 4 - 4, Tukiainen L. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 10:15, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 10:15, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 10:15, True A. (2 min),
- 11:51, Torgersson D. (2 min),
- 11:51, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 17:13, Virta P. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Antti-Roiko A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Hirvonen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Vatanen S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kantner M. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Virta P. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Jormakka P. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
JYP
54.6% | Draw
21.3% | Kärpät
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
JYP - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.74) |
4.36 ↓
(4.37) |
3.91 ↓
(3.94) |
7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for JYP - Kärpät?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
JYP will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 1.
- JYP has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, JYP is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 51:100. (average 2.6:5).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:51. (average 2.2:5.1).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Kärpät?
JYP has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against JYP?
Kärpät has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Kärpät were as follows:
08.10.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
5:2
22.08.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
5:4
05.03.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
4:3
18.01.2025
JYP
-
Kärpät
0:4
29.11.2024
JYP
-
Kärpät
5:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 60:40 | 38 |
| 2 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 3 | Tappara | 19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 64:45 | 35 |
| 4 | Jukurit | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 52:54 | 34 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 63:52 | 34 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 58:57 | 32 |
| 7 | Lukko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 55:48 | 31 |
| 8 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 9 | KooKoo | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 62:61 | 30 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 19 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 43:47 | 28 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 52:59 | 27 |
| 12 | Ilves | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56:69 | 24 |
| 13 | Karpat | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66:70 | 21 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 45:54 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
