Result
1:4
06/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.87 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.56% (1/18) | 12.5% (4/32) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 94.44% (17/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.27 | 58.73 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 06:43, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
- 12:47, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 02:05, 0 - 1, Makiaho D. (G), Repo S. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
- 09:40, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 11:26, 0 - 2, Repo S. (G), Ashbrook T. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
- 19:39, 1 - 2, Karvinen R. (G), Kousa M. (A), Nieminen D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:36, Vaananen M. (2 min),
- 07:30, 1 - 3, Somervuori J. (G), Ragnarsson J. (A), Repo S. (A2)
- 16:55, 1 - 4, Repo S. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Pakarinen I. (A2)
Chances of winning
Pelicans
40.5% | Draw
24.7% | HIFK
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Pelicans - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.22) |
3.75 ↓
(3.88) |
2.7 ↑
(2.59) |
6.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 3.
- Pelicans is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- HIFK is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:45. (average 2.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 3.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HIFK?
Pelicans has won 15 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Pelicans?
HIFK has won 10 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - HIFK were as follows:
24.09.2025
HIFK
-
Pelicans
3:2
13.09.2025
Pelicans
-
HIFK
5:2
04.01.2025
HIFK
-
Pelicans
6:3
03.01.2025
Pelicans
-
HIFK
4:0
23.10.2024
Pelicans
-
HIFK
6:4
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
