Result
0:1
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Donadio C. 🟨,
- 34', Citi A. 🟨,
- 44', Kolaj A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Kolaj A. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
- 62', Esposito G. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
- 66', Bonetti A. 🟨,
- 68', Bonetti A. ↓, Cali M. ↑,
- 69', Karlsson O. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
- 72', Basso G. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
- 74', Alberti T. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 76', Rossi G. 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 1, De Leo L. ⚽,
- 82', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
- 87', Cannavaro A. ↓, Bertoncini D. ↑,
- 87', Valdesi A. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 89', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novara
41.8% | Draw
31.6% | Renate
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Novara - Renate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.04) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
3.46 ↓
(3.98) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Novara - Renate?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 3.
- Novara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Renate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Novara might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Novara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Renate?
Novara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Novara?
Renate has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Renate were as follows:
23.02.2025
Novara
-
Renate
1:0
11.10.2024
Renate
-
Novara
0:1
10.08.2024
Renate
-
Novara
2:3
06.03.2024
Novara
-
Renate
1:1
28.10.2023
Renate
-
Novara
2:2
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
