Petrocub-Hîncești vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos
Result
1:4
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Redder M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
moldovaMoldovaW Sport
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.89
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
312
Shots on Goal
19
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
01
Free Kicks
2112
Corner Kicks
11
Offsides
12
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
431539
Completed Passes
345457
Crosses Completed
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lungu T. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Correia J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Jaja , Sunjic I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 3, Correia J. , Silva J. (A),
  • 54', Agyemang M. N. , Jardan V. ,
  • 60', Jaja , Quina D. ,
  • 60', Jairo , Anderson Silva ,
  • 63', Caruntu M. , Nikhaev V. ,
  • 63', Ambros V. , Demian D. ,
  • 70', Correia J. , Name M. ,
  • 76', Bors I. , Diallo B. ,
  • 76', Puscas D. , Guilherme Matheus ,
  • 82', 1 - 4, Name M. , Tankovic M. (A),
  • 85', Sunjic I. , Leo Natel ,
  • 85', Tankovic M. , Ilia M. ,
  • 87', Name M. 🟨,
  • 87', Jardan I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silva J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Petrocub-Hîncești
17.2%
Draw
23.5%
Paphos
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 26.4% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 25.7% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrocub-Hîncești's form might have worsened.
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paphos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrocub-Hîncești, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.49
    (3.83)
    4.02
    (3.54)
    1.62
    (1.89)
    4.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Petrocub will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Paphos will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 63.7%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru.
    • Recent matches Petrocub is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paphos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Petrocub could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Petrocub have a series of home games.
    • In this match Paphos is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Petrocub: Mudrac V. (Red Card)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Petrocub-Hîncești
    Latest results of Paphos
    29.09.2024 Paphos - Aris Limassol 1:1
    25.09.2024 APOEL - Paphos 1:0
    22.09.2024 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:3
    18.09.2024 Paphos - Nea Salamis 4:0
    14.09.2024 Paphos - Anorthosis 3:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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