USA vs Mexico, World Championship Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
123:88
01/03/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7565
Field goals made
4630
Field goals %
61.33%46.15%
2-point field goals attempts
3634
2-point field goals made
2917
2-point field goals %
80.56%50%
3-point field goals attempts
3931
3-point field goals made
1713
3-point field goals %
43.59%41.94%
Free throws attempts
2019
Free throws made
1415
Free throws %
70%78.9%
Offensive rebounds
106
Defensive rebounds
2220
Total rebounds
3226
Assists
3620
Blocks
21
Turnovers
815
Steals
116
Personal fouls
1819

Highlights

Chances of winning


USA
77.4%
Mexico
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
86.9% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA's form might have worsened.
  • Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mexico's recent form is better than expected.
  • USA - Mexico Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.07)

    4.22
    (7.1)
    5.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    What is the prediction for USA - Mexico?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mexico (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -14.5, OT - Mexico (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, 1st Half - Mexico (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, 1st Half - Mexico (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Mexico (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Mexico (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Mexico (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Mexico (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Mexico (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Mexico (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -11.5, OT - Mexico (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5, OT - Mexico (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -13.5, OT - Mexico (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Mexico (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Mexico (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1Q - Mexico (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1Q - Mexico (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Mexico (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Mexico (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Mexico (votes: 21 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 3.
    • In this match, USA is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 681:586. (average 85.1:73.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA - Mexico were as follows:
    02.09.2022 Mexico - USA 73:67
    Latest results of USA
    26.02.2026 USA - Dominican Republic 79:87
    01.12.2025 USA - Nicaragua 123:93
    28.11.2025 Nicaragua - USA 67:102
    31.08.2025 Canada - USA 85:90
    30.08.2025 Brazil - USA 92:77
    Latest results of Mexico
    26.02.2026 Nicaragua - Mexico 72:99
    01.12.2025 Dominican Republic - Mexico 88:89
    28.11.2025 Mexico - Dominican Republic 85:92
    24.02.2025 Mexico - Canada 98:94
    21.02.2025 Mexico - Nicaragua 107:57
    World Championship Basketball Table
    Europe

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Switzerland660484:34112
    2Ireland633454:4709
    3Kosovo624442:4898
    4Azerbaijan615405:4857


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Romania431316:2877
    2Norway422273:2776
    3Luxembourg413271:2965


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Austria431401:3127
    2Armenia422346:3846
    3Albania413290:3415


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWLPts
    1Norway422273:2776
    2Armenia422346:3846
    3Ireland413284:3395

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