Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Super League Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Usa | Peacock |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/352) | 69% (227/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/352) | 69% (227/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/72) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 57% (54/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Bessette V. 🟨,
- 39', Corbin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Lussi T. ⚽, Corbin M. (A),
- 62', Zade J. ↓, McNeill S. ↑,
- 62', Gabby Provenzano ↓, Gaillard S. ↑,
- 62', Webber F. ↓, Shimkin J. ↑,
- 68', Listro J. 🟨,
- 68', Groom S. 🟨,
- 74', Parsons M. ↓, Pokorny M. ↑,
- 75', Studer S. 🟨,
- 86', Corbin M. ↓, Morris E. ↑,
- 90+3', Parker R. ↓, Baisden R. ↑,
- 90+5', Groom S. ↓, Hylton C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carolina Ascent
48% | Draw
28.3% | Tampa Bay Sun
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Ascent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.89) |
3.22 ↓
(3.37) |
3.84 ↑
(3.69) |
9.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Ascent won against Tampa Bay Sun?
Carolina Ascent has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Sun won against Carolina Ascent?
Tampa Bay Sun has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
06.09.2025
Carolina Ascent
-
Tampa Bay Sun
2:2
17.05.2025
Carolina Ascent
-
Tampa Bay Sun
1:1
15.03.2025
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Carolina Ascent
1:0
16.11.2024
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Carolina Ascent
2:1
27.09.2024
Carolina Ascent
-
Tampa Bay Sun
0:0
Latest results of Carolina Ascent
Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
USL Super League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Jax W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 41:22 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Lexington W | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 37:21 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:31 | -7 | 29 |
| 5 | DC Power W | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Spokane Zephyr W | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23:40 | -17 | 19 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
