Martigues vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 28
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.21
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
1726
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Long passes
33% (20/60)42% (31/74)
Passes in final third
47% (46/98)66% (70/106)
Crosses
44% (4/9)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.40
Fouls
1413
Tackles
79% (19/24)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5856
Clearances Total
4516
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.211.31
Goals prevented
1.21-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Montiel R. , Robin M. (A),
  • 35', Hadjem Y. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ,
  • 45+2', Barreto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Soumano M. , Santelli B. ,
  • 64', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 66', Robin M. , Siby M. ,
  • 66', Montiel R. , Djaha A. ,
  • 79', Orinel O. , Kembolo F. ,
  • 79', Ipiele A. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 79', Barreto M. , Puch Herrantz M. ,
  • 83', Vidal C. 🟨,
  • 90', Hadjem Y. , Mendy O. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
30.4%
Draw
30.7%
Ajaccio
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 30.1% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 30.3% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Martigues - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.91)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.48)
    6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Martigues - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Martigues: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajaccio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Anziani J. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Ajaccio were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Ajaccio - Martigues 1:1
    Latest results of Martigues
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    21.02.2025 Martigues - Annecy 2:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes24136538:251345
    2St Etienne24134741:291243
    3Reims24118537:231441
    4Le Mans241010430:24640
    5Red Star24117630:25540
    6Dunkerque24108640:251538
    7Annecy24106832:25736
    8Rodez2499631:31036
    9Montpellier241041028:25334
    10Guingamp2497835:36-134
    11Pau FC2497837:39-234
    12Grenoble24610824:29-528
    13Nancy24751221:32-1126
    14Boulogne24751225:36-1126
    15Clermont24671127:32-525
    16Amiens24651328:39-1123
    17Bastia24391212:25-1318
    18Laval24391218:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National