Aziz Dougaz vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Aziz Dougaz - Aslan Karatsev
Result
1:2
30/09/2024 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Boucharinc L. (Fra)

Match Stats

Aces
1610
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
65%62%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (47/69)74% (45/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (21/37)63% (24/38)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (16/61)32% (22/69)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (14/38)43% (16/37)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)27% (3/11)
Winners
2129
Unforced Errors
3229
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)91% (10/11)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
64% (68/106)70% (69/99)
Return Points Won
30% (30/99)36% (38/106)
Total Points Won
48% (98/205)52% (107/205)
Max Games In Row
23
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Aziz Dougaz
23.8%
Aslan Karatsev
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 67.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aziz Dougaz - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.94
    (3.28)

    1.23
    (1.31)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Dougaz is ranked ATP: 226. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 139.
    • Dougaz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Karatsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Dougaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Karatsev is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Dougaz to win the game is with odds 3.98.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aziz Dougaz
    28.09.2024 Aziz Dougaz - Jie Cui Cui J. retired
    25.09.2024 Aziz Dougaz - Jimmy Yang 2:0
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.1 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)1 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.0 : 2
    6Borges N.Vukic A.2 : 0
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.2 : 0
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Tien L.Norrie C. (30)
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Medvedev D. (16)
    3Shang J.Borges N.
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.
    8Darderi L. (26)Musetti L. (8)
    9Goffin D.Diallo G. (31)
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (20)
    16Griekspoor T. (27)Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2