Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chievo 53.8% | Draw 25.6% | Varesina 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chievo's performance.Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varesina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varesina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chievo - Varesina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.02) |
3.6 ↑ (3.5) |
4.45 ↑ (2.98) |
8.8% (11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chievo - Varesina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chievo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chievo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Chievo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Varesina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chievo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chievo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chievo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Chievo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Chievo won against Varesina?
Chievo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varesina won against Chievo?
Varesina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chievo - Varesina were as follows:
29.01.2025
Varesina
-
Chievo
2:3
02.10.2024
Chievo
-
Varesina
2:5
Latest results of Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation