Chievo vs Varesina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 71', 1 - 0, ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Chievo
53.8%
Draw
25.6%
Varesina
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 25.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chievo's performance.
  • Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varesina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varesina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chievo - Varesina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (2.02)
    3.6
    (3.5)
    4.45
    (2.98)
    8.8%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chievo - Varesina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chievo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chievo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Chievo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Varesina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chievo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chievo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chievo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chievo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chievo - Varesina were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Varesina - Chievo 2:3
    02.10.2024 Chievo - Varesina 2:5
    Latest results of Chievo
    23.11.2025 Vogherese - Chievo 0:1
    16.11.2025 Chievo - Brusaporto 0:3
    09.11.2025 Villa Valle - Chievo 0:2
    01.11.2025 Chievo - Real Calepina 3:3
    26.10.2025 Sondrio - Chievo 0:2
    Latest results of Varesina
    19.11.2025 Club Milano - Varesina 1:0
    16.11.2025 Leon - Varesina 1:1
    09.11.2025 Varesina - Casatese 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation