Result
0:2
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (430/513) | 59% (113/190) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (430/513) | 59% (113/190) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (122/171) | 48% (27/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.85 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Akere S. ⚽,
- 13', Barisic T. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 21', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 27', Fruk T. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 32', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
- 38', Orec A. 🟨,
- 44', Barco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', Colina D. ↓, Jelenic L. ↑,
- 65', Akere S. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 69', Orec A. ↓, Morchiladze T. ↑,
- 69', Legbo D. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 69', Gojak A. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 78', Jovicic M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 78', Kolarik I. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
- 83', Matkovic A. ↓, Baric I. ↑,
- 85', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Omerovic N. ⚽, Mikolcic S. (A),
Chances of winning
Rijeka
60.7% | Draw
24.5% | Osijek
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Rijeka - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.67) |
3.83 ↑
(3.65) |
6.22 ↑
(5.07) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Knee Injury)
Vignato S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Osijek: Barisic B.
(Knock)
Jurisic R.
(Inactive)
Karacic F.
(Inactive)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Mersinaj J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Osijek?
Rijeka has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Rijeka?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Osijek were as follows:
01.02.2026
Osijek
-
Rijeka
1:0
27.10.2025
Rijeka
-
Osijek
4:2
09.08.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:0
23.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Osijek
0:2
16.02.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 75:22 | 53 | 66 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:33 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 36 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 36 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 8 | Gorica | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Osijek | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 28 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
