Result
4:2
27/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 11
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (358/427) | 78% (273/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.91 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (358/427) | 78% (273/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 35% (15/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (84/121) | 59% (44/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 3.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mikolcic S. ⚽, Jurisic R. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Fruk T. ⚽, Petrovic D. (A),
- 26', Mikolcic S. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 1, Cop D. ⚽, Devetak M. (A),
- 42', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cvijanovic I. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 1, Cop D. ⚽, Orec A. (A),
- 54', Toure Y. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 54', 4 - 1, Devetak M. ⚽, Husic A. (A),
- 59', Hasic E. 🟨,
- 62', Omerovic N. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 63', Mikolcic S. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
- 63', Orec A. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 63', Cop D. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 66', Jelenic L. 🟨,
- 68', Majstorovic A. ↓, Kitin L. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 2, Farkas N. ⚽,
- 75', Hasic E. 🟨,
- 79', Vignato S. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 79', Menalo L. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 80', Babec H. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
- 90+2', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
49% | Draw
27.1% | Osijek
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rijeka - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.82) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
3.91 ↓
(4.07) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 49.7% – 86.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Osijek?
Rijeka has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Rijeka?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Osijek were as follows:
09.08.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:0
23.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Osijek
0:2
16.02.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
10.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Osijek
1:1
25.08.2024
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
