Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Den Dreef (Heverlee).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 1
Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.31
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
78% (263/338)	83% (350/421)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.09	2.00
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
6	13
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
16	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
78% (263/338)	83% (350/421)
Long passes
42% (28/66)	61% (35/57)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)	70% (84/120)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	1.06
Throw-ins
17	24
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
63% (12/19)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
55	54
Clearances
39	22
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.00	2.09
Goals prevented
0.00	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Maertens M. ⚽, Verlinden T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Maertens M. 🟨,
62', Rogelj Z. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
62', Titraoui Y. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
62', Verlinden T. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
62', Stulic N. ↓, Descotte A. ↑,
62', Maertens M. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
70', Gil O. 🟨,
71', Traore A. K. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
74', Guiagon P. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
77', Camara E. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Maziz Y. ⚽, Mijatovic J. (A),
81', Camara E. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
87', Balikwisha W. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Bernier A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Dragsnes V. ⚽,
90+5', Romsaas J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
36.3%

Draw
29.4%

Charleroi
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.47)	3.4 ↑ (3.32)	2.98 ↑ (2.83)	-0% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Charleroi will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.1% – 81.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 3 - 30%). Charleroi (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Charleroi (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Leuven (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Charleroi (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2.
Charleroi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Charleroi has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Charleroi: Mayoka-Tika N. (Inactive) Sow M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Charleroi?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Charleroi has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi were as follows:

24.05.2025 Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1

28.03.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 0:0

14.12.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 1:0

26.10.2024 Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:2

17.02.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 0:0

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

20.07.2025 Reims - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Seraing 2:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Leicester City - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Charleroi

24.07.2025 Hammarby - Charleroi 0:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Utrecht - Charleroi 1:2 ✺

08.07.2025 Charleroi - Beveren 4:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Mons - Charleroi 1:1 ✺

29.05.2025 Royal Antwerp - Charleroi 1:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG ✔	26	16	8	2	43:15	28	56
2	St. Truiden ✔	26	17	3	6	44:29	15	54
3	Club Brugge KV ✔	26	17	2	7	49:31	18	53
4	Anderlecht	26	11	7	8	34:32	2	40
5	KV Mechelen	26	10	9	7	34:29	5	39
6	Gent	26	10	6	10	41:38	3	36
7	Genk	26	9	8	9	36:40	-4	35
8	St. Liege	26	10	4	12	24:33	-9	34
9	Westerlo	26	9	7	10	34:38	-4	34
10	Charleroi	26	9	6	11	35:35	0	33
11	Antwerp	26	8	6	12	29:30	-1	30
12	Waregem	26	7	8	11	36:42	-6	29
13	Leuven	26	7	7	12	28:37	-9	28
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	26	6	9	11	34:40	-6	27
15	RAAL La Louviere	26	5	10	11	21:30	-9	25
16	Dender	26	3	8	15	21:44	-23	17

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Clinched Spots for Teams

Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )