Polonia Warszawa vs Basket Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:76
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Liga - Round 21
  • Referee: Tomaszewski T. (Pol)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5377
Field goals made
2230
Field goals %
41.51%38.96%
2-point field goals attempts
2851
2-point field goals made
1524
2-point field goals %
53.57%47.06%
3-point field goals attempts
2526
3-point field goals made
76
3-point field goals %
28%23.08%
Free throws attempts
3216
Free throws made
2410
Free throws %
75%62.5%
Offensive rebounds
717
Defensive rebounds
3424
Total rebounds
4141
Assists
1415
Blocks
50
Turnovers
189
Steals
512
Personal fouls
1524

Chances of winning


Polonia Warszawa
51.2%
Basket Poznań
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Basket Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.96)

    1.89
    (1.7)
    8.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 2.
    • Polonia Warszawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Poznań's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Polonia Warszawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 594:618. (average 74.3:77.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:242. (average 74.3:80.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa 71:82
    15.02.2025 Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa 87:70
    09.11.2024 Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań 79:81
    08.03.2024 Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań 75:102
    03.12.2023 Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa 66:68
    Latest results of Polonia Warszawa
    Latest results of Basket Poznań
    Polish 1 Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Bydgoszcz262332327:200649
    2Lancut271892338:234145
    3Spojnia Stargard261792156:208443
    4Pelplin2716112325:224643
    5LKS Lodz251872180:197843
    6Starogard Gdanski261792203:208643
    7GKS Tychy2616102144:211042
    8WKK Wroclaw2712152195:222639
    9Leszno2712152128:222039
    10Kotwica Kolobrzeg2513122053:193538
    11Polonia Warszawa2612142106:217538
    12Poznan2611152093:210837
    13Inowroclaw279182145:227836
    14R. Rzeszow2610162119:218336
    15Poli. Opolska269172127:219835
    16Miners Katowice266202083:224732
    17Zubry Bialystok253221905:220628

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