Result
2:4
02/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 8
- Referee: Soeder A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/405) | 79% (350/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/405) | 79% (350/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 54% (38/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 64% (78/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 21% (7/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.97 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Madl V. ⚽, Fudalla V. (A),
- 19', 0 - 2, Kehrer C. ⚽, Mickenhagen J. (A),
- 28', Jaron I. ↓, Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 2, Reske E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 3, Madl V. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
- 54', Andersson N. 🟨,
- 56', Reske E. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
- 56', Gora L. ↓, Julevic M. ↑,
- 56', Heuschkel A. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 4, Fudalla V. ⚽,
- 63', Kehrer C. ↓, Haim V. ↑,
- 63', Bartz P. ↓, Bender L. ↑,
- 63', Fudalla V. ↓, Kogel K. ↑,
- 67', Tietz R. ↓, Gentile N. ↑,
- 71', Piljic K. ↓, Grant R. ↑,
- 73', Schmid S. 🟨,
- 81', Madl V. ↓, Wrigge A. ↑,
- 90', Zdebel S. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 4, Gentile N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carl Zeiss Jena
8.9% | Draw
16.5% | Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Bayer 04 Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.28 ↑
(6.83) |
5.58 ↑
(4.73) |
1.23 ↓
(1.34) |
8.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jena won 0.
- Jena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bayer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayer is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carl Zeiss Jena won against Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Carl Zeiss Jena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer 04 Leverkusen won against Carl Zeiss Jena?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:
09.03.2025
Carl Zeiss Jena
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0:2
07.10.2024
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
-
Carl Zeiss Jena
1:0
Latest results of Carl Zeiss Jena
Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
