Result
1:2
05/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Marconi M. ⚽,
- 59', Gunduz T. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 59', Voca I. ↓, Bagnoli E. ↑,
- 59', Pedicillo L. ↓, Tonetto M. ↑,
- 59', Galli G. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Pitou J. ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 2, Ionita A. ⚽,
- 76', Marconi M. ↓, Morselli F. ↑,
- 76', Lopes E. ↓, Invernizzi A. ↑,
- 76', Muroni M. ↓, Giorgeschi S. ↑,
- 78', Bertolotti F. 🟨,
- 86', Bright K. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Triestina
43.5% | Draw
29.2% | Alcione
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcione's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Triestina - Alcione Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.8) |
3.12 ↓
(3.26) |
3.34 ↓
(4.29) |
9.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Triestina - Alcione?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alcione will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Alcione (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Triestina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alcione is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Triestina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Alcione?
Triestina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcione won against Triestina?
Alcione has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Alcione were as follows:
23.08.2025
Alcione
-
Triestina
1:0
22.02.2025
Triestina
-
Alcione
1:0
12.10.2024
Alcione
-
Triestina
1:0
Latest results of Triestina
Latest results of Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to
