Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Elena A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Covadonga
61.8% | Draw
24.3% | Mosconia
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covadonga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Covadonga - Mosconia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.79) |
4.01 ↑
(3.4) |
6.99 ↑
(4.1) |
2.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.
- Covadonga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Mosconia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Covadonga is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Mosconia?
Covadonga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mosconia won against Covadonga?
Mosconia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Mosconia were as follows:
23.02.2025
Mosconia
-
Covadonga
1:2
12.10.2024
Covadonga
-
Mosconia
1:1
Latest results of Covadonga
Latest results of Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
