Real Madrid vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Mallorca
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 3
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
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vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.66
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
89% (481/538)79% (302/384)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.73
Total shots
179
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
610
Passes
89% (481/538)79% (302/384)
Long passes
63% (24/38)38% (29/76)
Passes in final third
85% (222/262)64% (47/74)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.86
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
127
Tackles
62% (8/13)33% (4/12)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.731.78
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. , Torre P. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Guler A. , Huijsen D. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior , Valverde F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Torre P. , Samu Costa ,
  • 67', Mastantuono F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 68', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 71', Guler A. , Ceballos D. ,
  • 72', Vinicius Junior , Rodrygo ,
  • 72', Alexander-Arnold T. , Carvajal D. ,
  • 79', Lato T. , Mojica J. ,
  • 79', Morey Bauza M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 87', Joseph M. , Asano T. ,
  • 87', Morlanes M. , Virgili J. ,
  • 90', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 90+5', Mbappe K. , Garcia G. ,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
83.1%
Draw
12%
Mallorca
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.5% 15.8% 7.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.25)
    8.2
    (6.07)
    20.88
    (12.33)
    2.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 55 - 91.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 4 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 84.7%98.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
    • Real is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mallorca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Mallorca has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Shoulder Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Salas J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:9. (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 3.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Mallorca were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    09.01.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 3:0
    18.08.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 1:1
    13.04.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 0:1
    03.01.2024 Real Madrid - Mallorca 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Latest results of Mallorca
    23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    16.08.2025 Mallorca - Barcelona 0:3
    09.08.2025 Mallorca - Hamburger SV 2:0
    06.08.2025 Poblense - Mallorca 0:2
    31.07.2025 Mallorca - Parma 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona761021:51619
    2Real Madrid760116:8818
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    6Betis733111:7412
    7Espanyol733110:9112
    8Getafe83239:11-211
    9Sevilla731311:10110
    10Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    11Osasuna83147:8-110
    12Alaves72236:7-18
    13Valencia72239:12-38
    14R. Oviedo72054:12-86
    15Levante712411:14-35
    16Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    17Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    18Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    19Mallorca71246:11-55
    20Girona70343:16-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2