Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 5
- Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 76% (288/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 76% (288/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (85/127) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Kortajarena I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lobete J. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
- 58', Pina 🟨,
- 61', Murillo D. 🟨,
- 61', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 66', Alvarez J. ↓, Sielva O. ↑,
- 67', Pina ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 67', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
- 67', Dotor C. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
- 74', Luna D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 74', Portillo F. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
- 77', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 78', Perez A. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
- 79', Juanpe ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 85', Munoz J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Beltran L. ⚽,
- 90+5', Beltran L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3vww9hf5
Chances of winning
Huesca
42.3% | Draw
32.1% | Málaga
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huesca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Huesca - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.99) |
2.9 ↓
(3.33) |
3.69 ↓
(3.78) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Huesca - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 3.
- In recent matches, Huesca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Málaga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Málaga has had a series of home games.
- Huesca might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Huesca: Albarracin G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Enrich S.
(Red Card)
Martin J.
(Knee Injury)
Mier J.
(Injury)
Ojeda D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M.
(Injury)
Dorrio J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Huesca won against Málaga?
Huesca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Huesca?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huesca - Málaga were as follows:
14.04.2025
Huesca
-
Málaga
1:0
14.09.2024
Málaga
-
Huesca
1:0
01.05.2023
Málaga
-
Huesca
0:0
11.09.2022
Huesca
-
Málaga
1:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
