Aston Villa vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Bologna
Result
2:0
22/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Aston Villa - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
913
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
23
Throw-ins
149
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
139
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
449389
Completed Passes
388327
Crosses Completed
43
Interceptions
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Orsolini R. 🟨,
  • 45', Posch S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Onana A. , Barkley R. ,
  • 46', Orsolini R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 47', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,
  • 50', Barkley R. 🟨,
  • 54', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, McGinn J. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Duran J. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 66', Duran J. , Watkins O. ,
  • 66', Bailey L. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 66', Dallinga T. , Castro S. ,
  • 66', McGinn J. , Philogene J. ,
  • 67', Urbanski K. , Moro N. ,
  • 77', Ndoye D. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 78', Tielemans Y. , Kamara B. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
58.4%
Draw
24.7%
Bologna
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.4% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 21.4% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Aston Villa - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.56)
    3.9
    (4.28)
    5.69
    (5.89)
    3.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 132 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 118 - 89.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 84.1%94.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aston Villa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Olsen R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Erlic M. (Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Injury) Iling Junior S. (Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.67.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Bologna
    19.10.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:2
    06.10.2024 Bologna - Parma 0:0
    02.10.2024 Liverpool - Bologna 2:0
    28.09.2024 Bologna - Atalanta 1:1
    22.09.2024 Monza - Bologna 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3
    3ZalgirisHamrun2 : 0
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost1 : 0
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik1 : 0
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange1 : 0
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk1 : 0
    17TNSShkendija0 : 0
    18FCSBInter Escaldes3 : 1
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski0 : 2
    21ShelbourneLinfield1 : 0
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami1 : 0
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty1 : 1
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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