Jaiba Brava vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
16/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaAym Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Total shots
204
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
152
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', Meza U. 🟥,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Munoz D. , De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Perez E. , Gonzalez C. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Perez O. , Torres E. (A),
  • 33', Pedroza M. 🟨,
  • 34', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 42', Perez O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Torres U. , Flores L. ,
  • 46', Rivera E. , Perez J. ,
  • 50', 3 - 1, Pedroza M. ,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Gonzalez C. , Escoboza A. (A),
  • 59', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Brigido J. ,
  • 59', Fierro C. , Camacho Lastra R. E. ,
  • 59', Pedroza M. , Martinez F. ,
  • 66', Escoboza A. , Corona N. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez C. , Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ,
  • 67', Flores S. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez O. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 70', Perez E. , Peralta J. ,

Chances of winning


Jaiba Brava
60.1%
Draw
22.6%
Leones Negros UdeG
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.6% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.5% 24.6%

Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.97)
4.11
(3.35)
5.38
(3.6)
7.4%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 3.
    • Jaiba Brava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leones Negros UdeG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jaiba Brava is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    13.11.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava 1:0
    02.08.2025 Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG 1:0
    24.05.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava 2:0
    17.05.2025 Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG 2:1
    06.04.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    Latest results of Jaiba Brava
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0