Katerina Siniakova vs Darya Kasatkina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Seoul Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina
Result
2:0
18/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Seoul, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
58
1st Serve Percentage
58%58%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)50% (22/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (17/32)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
50% (22/44)36% (16/44)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (18/32)47% (15/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
59% (45/76)47% (36/76)
Return Points Won
53% (40/76)41% (31/76)
Total Points Won
56% (85/152)44% (67/152)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Katerina Siniakova
49.5%
Darya Kasatkina
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 55.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katerina Siniakova's performance.
  • Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.22)

    1.92
    (1.67)
    4.1%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 35.8%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darya Kasatkina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Siniakova is ranked WTA: 77. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 16.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
    26.05.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova 2:1
    16.10.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova 2:1
    Latest results of Katerina Siniakova
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Zakharova A. (LL)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    3Krejcikova B.Prozorova T. (Q)2 : 0
    4Cristian J.Raducanu E. (8)0 : 2
    5Tauson C. (3)Bye
    6Krueger A.Lys E.0 : 2
    7Joint M.Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Kenin S. (7)1 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (5)McNally C. (Q)2 : 1
    10Lamens S.Maria T.2 : 0
    11Siniakova K. (Q)Park S. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeKasatkina D. (4)
    13Haddad Maia B. (6)Back D. (WC)2 : 0
    14Ponchet J. (Q)Seidel E. (Q)1 : 2
    15Boisson L.Ku Y. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    2Krejcikova B.Raducanu E. (8)2 : 1
    3Tauson C. (3)Lys E.2 : 0
    4Joint M.Kenin S. (7)2 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (5)Lamens S.0 : 2
    6Siniakova K.Kasatkina D. (4)2 : 0
    7Haddad Maia B. (6)Seidel E.1 : 2
    8Boisson L.Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (3)Joint M.0 : 2
    3Lamens S.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    4Seidel E.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Joint M.2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Swiatek I. (1)Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 1