Tapachula Soconusco vs Montañeses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
09/03/2026 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Tapachula Soconusco
36.9%
Draw
24.9%
Montañeses
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.6% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 25.5% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapachula Soconusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapachula Soconusco than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapachula Soconusco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.79)
    3.66
    (3.42)
    2.39
    (2.22)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Tapachula has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montañeses is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tapachula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco 2:0
    16.10.2024 Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco 4:1
    Latest results of Montañeses
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2419020366:1468
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2513170442:1950
    3Tigres de Alica2414130641:2349
    4Leones Negros 22515020841:2649
    5Tecos2513040845:3345
    6Tritones Vallarta2311210929:2640
    7Los Cabos24110301037:3637
    8Mineros de Fresnillo249142833:3736
    9Guerreros de Autlan237052936:3829
    10Ensenada FC2480201429:5028
    11UA Zacatecas2470401326:4526
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2351111533:5720
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2350111637:6618
    14Colima FC2330301720:4513


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2418220246:1863
    2Santiago2312061431:2043
    3Halcones2410061740:2641
    4Zacatepec2410180524:1441
    5Club Calor2310071531:2438
    6Matamoros2310050827:1937
    7Lobos ULMX2410060831:2437
    8Correcaminos 2248070925:2333
    9Chilpancingo247080929:3929
    10Cordobes FC2461601125:2726
    11Canamy2450811033:4226
    12Zitacuaro234190920:2924
    13Ciervos2431421419:4318
    14Atletico Hidalgo2431411522:5516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 2220020049:867
    2Deportiva Venados2212141453:2446
    3Celaya2211131640:2642
    4Tapachula23120011047:3541
    5Inter Playa Del Carmen2310241631:2839
    6Montaneses229220930:2635
    7Pioneros2291111033:3333
    8Chiapas229023832:3132
    9Heroes de Zaci208021926:3727
    10Chapulineros2241601120:3221
    11Canoneros2242111420:4419
    12Neza FC2250201524:6019
    13Dragones Toluca2240301521:4217

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )