Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Gil O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Gil O. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Selma D. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Murcia
54.8% | Draw
27.3% | Marbella
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Real Murcia - Marbella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.76) |
3.35 ↑
(3.13) |
5.14 ↓
(5.3) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Marbella?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Murcia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marbella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Murcia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Marbella?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbella won against Real Murcia?
Marbella has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Marbella were as follows:
01.09.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
2:1
09.02.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
1:4
20.10.2024
Real Murcia
-
Marbella
0:0
Latest results of Real Murcia
Latest results of Marbella
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Eldense | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 53:33 | 20 | 65 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 61 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 48:43 | 5 | 56 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 53 |
| 7 | Algeciras | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 38:36 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Teruel | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 48 |
| 9 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 47 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | Antequera | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Hercules | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | Murcia | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 46 |
| 14 | Torremolinos | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Gimnastic | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:45 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Tarazona | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 42 |
| 17 | Betis B | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 41:56 | -15 | 38 |
| 18 | Marbella | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 31:47 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno ✔ | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 26:51 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B ✔ | 35 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 18:39 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sanluqueno is Relegated to
Sevilla FC B is Relegated to
