Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 4
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (172/282) | 79% (351/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (172/282) | 79% (351/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (25/84) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (54/103) | 69% (133/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ⚽, Peterson K. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Ihattaren M. (Pen),
- 39', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 45+6', Chery T. 🟨,
- 45+6', Peterson K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 58', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 58', Gonzalez R. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 61', Branderhorst M. 🟨,
- 65', Ihattaren M. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Misidjan V. (A),
- 73', Lonwijk J. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
- 73', Limnios D. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 74', Hubner J. 🟨,
- 88', Peterson K. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
- 88', Marquez I. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Gladon P. ⚽, Brittijn P. (A),
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
35.5% | Draw
26.4% | NEC Nijmegen
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3) |
3.73 ↑
(3.5) |
2.65 ↑
(2.15) |
0.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.
- Fortuna Sittard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
- Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Embalo U.
(Suspended)
Gladon P.
(Inactive)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:36. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NEC Nijmegen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
19.01.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
31.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
02.04.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
15.12.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
28.05.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Heracles | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
