Ajax vs Heerenveen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 11
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.91
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (450/541)80% (327/409)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.71
Total shots
917
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2932
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
166
Passes
83% (450/541)80% (327/409)
Long passes
60% (33/55)33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
70% (101/145)60% (48/80)
Crosses
19% (3/16)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.46
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
616
Tackles
67% (10/15)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
920
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.710.83
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Godts M. , Gloukh O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', Trenskow J. , Gurbuz E. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Sejk V. ,
  • 73', Rosa L. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 73', Regeer Y. , Mokio J. ,
  • 80', Moro R. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 82', Vente D. , Linday M. ,
  • 83', van Overeem J. 🟨,
  • 88', van Overeem J. , Hopland N. ,
  • 90+2', Rivera M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ajax
63.4%
Draw
20.2%
Heerenveen
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 17.2% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 16.6% 12.2%

Ajax - Heerenveen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.33)
4.81
(5.5)
5.94
(8)
3.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ajax - Heerenveen?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
    • Ajax has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Heerenveen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Ajax has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Smans L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 66:18. (average 3.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 40:10. (average 4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Heerenveen were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Heerenveen - Ajax 0:2
    11.08.2024 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:0
    11.02.2024 Heerenveen - Ajax 3:2
    05.11.2023 Ajax - Heerenveen 4:1
    12.03.2023 Heerenveen - Ajax 2:4
    Latest results of Ajax
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3
    30.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:0
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    28.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen 0:3
    24.10.2025 Heerenveen - NAC Breda 3:3
    19.10.2025 Telstar - Heerenveen 2:3
    09.10.2025 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:1
    04.10.2025 Heerenveen - Excelsior 2:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV13111141:172434
    2Feyenoord1391333:161728
    3AZ Alkmaar1373326:21524
    4Nijmegen1473436:231324
    5Utrecht1362523:17620
    6Ajax1355323:19420
    7Groningen1362519:19020
    8Sittard1453620:22-218
    9Twente1345421:19217
    10Heerenveen1445523:24-117
    11Sparta Rotterdam1452716:28-1217
    12G.A. Eagles1344521:22-116
    13Excelsior1451814:24-1016
    14Zwolle1444618:30-1216
    15FC Volendam1335517:21-414
    16Heracles1441922:36-1413
    17NAC Breda1433815:23-812
    18Telstar1324715:22-710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie