Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
33%
Draw
27.4%
Cimarrones de Sonora
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 25.5% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 25.1% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.62)
    3.3
    (3.52)
    2.29
    (2.24)
    10.5%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Leones Negros 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cimarrones de Sonora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cimarrones de Sonora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2 1:0
    01.03.2025 Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 3:1
    19.10.2024 Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2 1:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2