Blake Mott vs Yuta Shimizu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/10/2024 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
72
1st Serve Percentage
69%62%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (36/64)72% (36/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (7/14)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
30% (15/50)45% (29/64)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (16/31)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)50% (7/14)
Service Points Won
52% (48/93)63% (50/80)
Return Points Won
38% (30/80)48% (45/93)
Total Points Won
45% (78/173)55% (95/173)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
39% (11/28)61% (17/28)

Chances of winning


Blake Mott
25.7%
Yuta Shimizu
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 68.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blake Mott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Mott than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Mott, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (3.11)

    1.27
    (1.33)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mott is ranked ATP: 483. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 224.
    • Recent matches Mott is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Shimizu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Shimizu is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mott won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu 0:2
    Latest results of Blake Mott
    22.10.2024 Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu 0:2
    02.10.2024 Blake Mott - Matt Hulme Hulme M. walkover
    01.10.2024 Blake Mott - Hugh Winter 2:1
    09.09.2024 Yan Bai - Blake Mott 2:0
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Bouzige M.2 : 0
    2Peliwo F.Dellavedova M.0 : 2
    3Wu Tung-Lin (SE)Polmans M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Langmo C. (RET.)Sweeny D. (6)0 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Marinkov P. (LL)2 : 1
    6Jones H. (WC)Gengel M.1 : 2
    7Sekulic P.Hudd E. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kumasaka T. (Alt)Bolt A. (7)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (8)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    10Ellis B.Hazawa S. (Q)2 : 1
    11Hewitt C. (WC)Jasika O.2 : 1
    12Matsuoka H. (Q)Tomic B. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13McCabe J. (5)Moriya H.2 : 0
    14Singh K.Shah A.2 : 0
    15Delaney Ja. (Q)Overbeck C. E. (Q)0 : 2
    16Bicknell B. (LL)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Dellavedova M.
    2Wu Tung-LinSweeny D. (6)
    3Kubler J. (4)Gengel M.
    4Sekulic P.Bolt A. (7)
    5Sach T. (WO.)Ellis B.
    6Hewitt C.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    7McCabe J. (5)Singh K.2 : 0
    8Overbeck C. E.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Sach T.Matsuoka H.
    4McCabe J. (5)Hijikata R. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2