Result
2:3
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Brazao M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ondoa F. ⚽,
- 34', Ondoa F. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pinho P. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Simoes T. ⚽, Joao Teixeira (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Ktatau ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Martelo P. ⚽, Joanderson (A),
- 54', 2 - 2, Reinaldo (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
- 72', Joanderson ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
- 73', 2 - 3, Roberto ⚽, Tiago Almeida (A),
- 76', Gudzulic M. 🟨,
- 78', Roberto ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
- 83', Ondoa F. ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
- 83', Silva J. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
- 84', Joao Teixeira ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 89', Pinho P. ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
- 90+1', Lopes A. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
- 90+1', Bruno Silva ↓, Martins S. ↑,
- 90+7', Bikoro F. 🟨,
- 90+12', Namora N. 🟨,
- 90+13', Bastos L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
27.6% | Draw
29.8% | Chaves
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliveirense's performance.Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oliveirense - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↓
(4.15) |
3.12 ↓
(3.53) |
2.18 ↑
(1.83) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Chaves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2.
- Oliveirense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chaves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Chaves is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Chaves?
Oliveirense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Oliveirense?
Chaves has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Chaves were as follows:
15.03.2025
Chaves
-
Oliveirense
4:0
26.10.2024
Oliveirense
-
Chaves
0:3
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
