Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels
Result
4:1
25/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rutherford A. ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, Carter C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 3 - 0, Rutherford A. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Unwin B. ,
  • 75', 4 - 1, Camp B. ,

Chances of winning


Dorking Wanderers
73.7%
Draw
16%
Tonbridge Angels
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 20.4% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 18.4% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorking Wanderers's performance.
  • Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorking Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.36)
    6.11
    (4.5)
    9.57
    (7.5)
    2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
    • Dorking has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tonbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Dorking is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels 1:0
    22.10.2024 Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers 1:0
    Latest results of Tonbridge Angels
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch1284026:131328
    2Weston-super-Mare1181218:81025
    3AFC Totton1171319:12722
    4Torquay1263320:14621
    5Maidenhead1162315:9620
    6Hemel Hempstead1154212:8419
    7Chesham1245313:10317
    8Dover1345420:19117
    9Maidstone1245312:13-117
    10Hampton & Richmond1144318:16216
    11Horsham FC1244416:14216
    12Ebbsfleet1144312:11116
    13Worthing1143417:14315
    14Dorking1143414:14015
    15Chelmsford1143411:13-215
    16Tonbridge1134414:18-413
    17Slough1133515:20-512
    18Dag & Red1225513:21-811
    19Bath1124511:16-510
    20Farnborough1123617:22-59
    21Enfield Town112368:15-79
    22Eastbourne Boro111557:13-68
    23Salisbury111557:14-78
    24Chippenham111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation