Result
1:2 penalties
11/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 2.58 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.57% (1/28) | 4.17% (1/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.83% (23/24) | 96.43% (27/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.41 | 42.59 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 14:29, Nakyva K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 06:45, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 06:45, Komarov L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:16, 0 - 1, Leppanen O. (G), Puolanne E. (A), Virtanen S. (A2)
- 04:28, Peters A. (2 min),
- 19:55, 1 - 1, Daschke D. (G), Ford C. (A), Morand A. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Stevens J. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Ruohomaa M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Svejkovsky L. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Beaucage A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Hillis C. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Morand A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Lukko
56.1% | Draw
22.4% | Kiekko-Espoo
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.63) |
4.21 ↓
(4.59) |
4.22 ↑
(4.2) |
7.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- Lukko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kiekko-Espoo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lukko is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Lukko has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Lukko?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
18.02.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Lukko
2:3
27.09.2025
Lukko
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
26.09.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Lukko
4:2
22.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Lukko
2:4
03.01.2025
Lukko
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
