Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:1
27/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.221.22
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1917
Shots on target
77
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
17
Passes
85% (401/470)87% (409/469)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.221.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.59
Total shots
1917
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
78
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1318
Passes
85% (401/470)87% (409/469)
Long passes
42% (20/48)58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)74% (76/103)
Crosses
33% (5/15)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.88
Throw ins
1316
Fouls
1813
Tackles
70% (7/10)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4140
Clearances
2417
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
74
xGOT faced
1.591.66
Goals prevented
0.59-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Keller T. 🟨,
  • 42', Pfeiffer P. 🟥,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Petretta R. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
  • 52', Lemmer J. 🟨,
  • 53', Lemmer J. 🟨,
  • 56', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
  • 58', Marseiler L. 🟨,
  • 74', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 74', Hauptmann N. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
  • 74', Pauli J. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
  • 79', Lopez S. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
  • 79', Akiyama H. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
  • 81', 3 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽,
  • 84', Bobzien B. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Furukawa Y. ⚽, Vukotic A. (A),

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
36.9%		Draw
27.3%		Darmstadt
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 26.5% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 26% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Dresden's performance.
  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darmstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Dresden that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.57 ↓
    (3.06)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.5)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.16)    		 6.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 23.2% – 66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 20%). Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Darmstadt (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Darmstadt (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
    • In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Nurnberger F. (Injury) Richter M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0
    30.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 2:3
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    22.02.2026 Hannover - Dynamo Dresden 0:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    21.02.2026 Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern 4:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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