Marino de Luanco vs Numancia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Jony ,
  • 14', 0 - 2, Jony ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Diaz D. ,

Chances of winning


Marino de Luanco
37.4%
Draw
30.1%
Numancia
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 28.3% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.3% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.
  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marino de Luanco - Numancia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2)
    3.07
    (3.24)
    2.84
    (3.53)
    8.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Marino de Luanco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Numancia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marino de Luanco - Numancia were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Marino de Luanco - Numancia 1:0
    26.10.2024 Numancia - Marino de Luanco 1:0
    Latest results of Marino de Luanco
    Latest results of Numancia
    19.10.2025 Numancia - Salamanca 3:1
    12.10.2025 Numancia - Sámano 0:0
    05.10.2025 Sarriana - Numancia 4:2
    21.09.2025 Bergantiños - Numancia 3:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B25157343:212252
    2Dep. Fabril25148341:162550
    3Gimnastica Segoviana24127528:22643
    4Coruxo FC25125833:25841
    5Salamanca25117733:27640
    6Numancia25116833:26739
    7UD Ourense25108726:26038
    8Real Avila25107835:38-337
    9Bergantinos2598829:27235
    10Marino de Luanco2489720:14633
    11Atl. Astorga25961028:30-233
    12Rayo Cantabria25514639:33629
    13Valladolid Promesas25771141:44-328
    14Sarriana25841330:33-328
    15Langreo25681121:30-926
    16Lealtad25561419:33-1421
    17Burgos CF B25491227:44-1721
    18UD Samano25261717:54-3712

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