Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Fagir I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mosconia 52.6% | Draw 28.6% | Ceares 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mosconia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mosconia - Ceares Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.73) |
2.89 ↓ (3.3) |
4.41 ↓ (4.6) |
20.8% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1.
- Mosconia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ceares is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mosconia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Mosconia will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosconia won against Ceares?
Mosconia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Mosconia?
Ceares has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosconia - Ceares were as follows:
20.09.2025
Ceares
-
Mosconia
0:0
09.03.2025
Mosconia
-
Ceares
2:1
27.10.2024
Ceares
-
Mosconia
1:1
Latest results of Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 62:17 | 45 | 82 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 79:21 | 58 | 74 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 76:24 | 52 | 61 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Praviano | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Llanes | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 30:53 | -23 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Tuilla | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Gijon Industrial | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:54 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 18:69 | -51 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation