Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Lierse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 9
  • Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.44
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
74% (259/348)72% (232/323)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.73
Total shots
196
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
2213
Passes
74% (259/348)72% (232/323)
Long passes
45% (36/80)47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
64% (91/142)51% (46/90)
Crosses
13% (4/30)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.42
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
1322
Tackles
18% (2/11)67% (8/12)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
3445
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.731.33
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', De Buyser W. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Adinany B. ,
  • 28', Muanza J. , Borry K. ,
  • 45', Mabanza V. R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', M'barki R. , Peeters S. ,
  • 46', Mabanza V. R. , Robberechts M. ,
  • 60', Kaparos J. , Orye N. ,
  • 64', Van Meirvenne C. 🟨,
  • 65', Dony A. 🟨,
  • 67', Van Meirvenne C. , Matuta E. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Rais A. , Peeters S. (A),
  • 76', Mayoka-Tika N. , Gboua Y. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Orye N. ,
  • 85', Vanderhallen S. , Lenaerts M. ,
  • 86', Lenaerts M. 🟥,
  • 89', Rais A. , Sarfo R. ,

Chances of winning


Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
52.8%
Draw
26.4%
Lierse
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 23.1% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.7% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patro Eisden Maasmechelen's form might have worsened.
  • Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.55)
    3.51
    (4)
    4.44
    (5.31)
    7.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Eisden is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lierse has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lierse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eisden is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Eisden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eisden won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1:0
    03.11.2024 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse 3:3
    Latest results of Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
    Latest results of Lierse
    25.09.2025 Gent U23 - Lierse 0:0
    19.09.2025 Lierse - RWDM Brussels 2:0
    12.09.2025 Lokeren - Lierse 2:0
    30.08.2025 Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse 1:0