Cavese vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Cavese - ACR Messina
Result
3:3
12/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
67
Shots off Goal
69
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Crimi M. 🟨,
  • 17', Marino A. 🟨,
  • 20', Gyamfi B. , Lia D. ,
  • 25', Vitale G. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Luciani P. ,
  • 44', Sannipoli D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Vitale G. , Fella G. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Chirico C. ,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Fella G. ,
  • 55', Luciani P. 🟨,
  • 56', Crimi M. , Dell'Aquila F. ,
  • 57', 3 - 1, Sannipoli D. ,
  • 58', 3 - 2, Luciani P. ,
  • 61', 3 - 3, Luciani P. ,
  • 65', Sorrentino D. , Vigliotti G. ,
  • 65', Marchisano M. , Rossi D. ,
  • 71', Chirico C. , Verde F. ,
  • 73', Fella G. 🟨,
  • 73', Petrucci D. , Buchel M. ,
  • 73', De Sena C. , Costantino R. ,
  • 77', Vigliotti G. 🟨,
  • 86', Rizzo A. , Diarrassouba A. ,

Chances of winning


Cavese
49.2%
Draw
29.3%
ACR Messina
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 27% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 26% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cavese's form might have worsened.
  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Cavese - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.63)
    3.15
    (3.3)
    4.29
    (4.9)
    8.5%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cavese - ACR Messina?
  • Users Predictions: Cavese will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Recent matches Cavese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Cavese is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cavese: Piana L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M. (Inactive) Ingrosso G. (Injury) Mame Ass N. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cavese - ACR Messina were as follows:
    31.10.2024 ACR Messina - Cavese 1:3
    Latest results of Cavese
    08.03.2025 Potenza - Cavese 2:2
    03.03.2025 Cavese - Casertana 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cavese - Picerno 1:1
    07.02.2025 Latina - Cavese 1:0
    31.01.2025 Cavese - Altamura 1:1
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    08.03.2025 ACR Messina - Avellino 0:1
    02.03.2025 Monopoli - ACR Messina 2:1
    24.02.2025 ACR Messina - Trapani 0:1
    15.02.2025 Benevento - ACR Messina 0:0
    08.02.2025 ACR Messina - Picerno 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1