Saint-Étienne vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Nova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceSKAI
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.75
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
84% (309/369)90% (486/541)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.69
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2434
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
84% (309/369)90% (486/541)
Long passes
50% (20/40)73% (36/49)
Passes in final third
77% (121/158)82% (93/113)
Crosses
29% (4/14)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.27
Fouls
1213
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4341
Clearances Total
3123
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.691.26
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Petrot L. (A),
  • 24', Stassin L. 🟨,
  • 27', Lacazette A. 🟨,
  • 28', Tolisso C. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
  • 32', Akouokou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Akouokou P. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
  • 46', Veretout J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 52', Mikautadze G. 🟨,
  • 63', Kumbedi S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽,
  • 74', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
  • 74', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Tessmann T. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
  • 78', Petrot L. 🟨,
  • 79', Appiah D. 🟨,
  • 89', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
  • 89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
  • 90', Cherki R. ↓, Clinton Mata ↑,
  • 90+3', Clinton Mata 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
19.9%		Draw
21.5%		Lyon
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 22.3% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 21.5% 57.9%

Saint-Étienne - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.75 ↑
(4.36)		 4.43 ↑
(4.27)		 1.63 ↓
(1.71)		 4.9%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 64.2% – 91.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Lyon (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Lyon (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Saint-Étienne (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 3 - 30%). Lyon (votes: 7 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lyon is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Bouchouari B. (Back Injury) Cornud P. (Groin Injury) Macon Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Lucas Perri (Personal Reasons) Matic N. (Hip Injury) Molebe E. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:32 (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Lyon were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Lyon - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    17.04.2025 Manchester United - Lyon 5:4 ✺
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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